Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.303948 54.326092 60.603971 67.619474 75.222904 83.197332 92.175656
2024-10-20 38.408208 47.109951 56.749030 68.139963 81.153076 95.476739 112.353745
2024-10-27 31.594423 41.312835 52.561530 66.384768 82.750511 101.346850 123.906753
2024-11-03 28.711751 39.542193 52.525585 68.973990 88.984311 112.268212 141.125100
2024-11-10 25.912704 37.448743 51.729978 70.324120 93.493116 121.012956 155.748512
2024-11-17 23.019605 34.880863 50.030296 70.274884 96.072039 127.300520 167.378339
2024-11-24 21.642196 34.129000 50.497628 72.842520 101.835325 137.466601 183.798122
2024-12-01 19.459883 32.052384 49.029069 72.733799 104.078138 143.206086 194.772001
2024-12-08 17.280211 29.762020 47.075016 71.800401 105.107887 147.322792 203.680571
2024-12-15 15.675052 28.147936 45.909240 71.799901 107.263615 152.821147 214.336504
2024-12-22 14.254084 26.672971 44.817052 71.791908 109.330574 158.168575 224.816237
2024-12-29 13.758570 26.579613 45.683108 74.510476 115.105242 168.417965 241.742526
2025-01-05 12.752289 25.617537 45.250061 75.409634 118.482104 175.678582 255.067247
2025-01-12 11.747876 24.571688 44.624116 75.988068 121.412988 182.396931 267.805631
2025-01-19 10.274316 22.581432 42.403828 74.081693 120.726961 184.155910 273.919542
2025-01-26 9.979640 22.615894 43.339864 76.890676 126.784347 195.146725 292.487329
2025-02-02 9.425620 22.130662 43.404011 78.354305 130.909937 203.532289 307.646590
2025-02-09 8.621244 21.104846 42.518892 78.300947 132.793696 208.818839 318.652499
2025-02-16 8.408720 21.180006 43.448829 81.083017 138.880477 220.028017 337.854865
2025-02-23 7.699190 20.218521 42.571315 80.965256 140.638438 225.171620 348.788045
2025-03-02 6.906923 19.005829 41.182166 79.954108 140.998868 228.308948 356.956804
2025-03-09 6.341613 18.199738 40.447484 79.953566 142.856576 233.572232 368.109392
2025-03-16 5.822510 17.434954 39.734821 79.944906 144.675213 238.779311 379.220633